Fitzgerald: Et tu, Johnson?

Responding to a prediction by the historian Paul Johnson that the Muslim world would soon “collapse” into secularism, Robert Spencer observed that "the Muslim world was much more secular 100 years ago and fifty years ago than it is now."

Fifty years ago, one hundred years ago, the Muslim world was obviously weak, without resources, facing an obviously much more powerful and self-confident West. Those who recognized this and wished to do something about it were the ones who, like Kemal Ataturk, pushed "reform" in the sense of greater constraint on Islam and the granting of rights closer to what had been granted in the West to individuals. But the extent of that "reforming" impulse has often been exaggerated. Furthermore, it was often undertaken by those who wished not to jettison Islam, but to rescue it from what they took was certain decline and possibly fall in relation to that West.

The most important such reformer was Ataturk, who as a result of Turkey's loss of the Ottoman Empire and obvious weakness, put in place a series of measures designed to constrain the political and social role of Islam in Turkey. But Ataturk could do this only because Turkey was toppling, and he, as a war hero and capable of great ruthlessness, could reasonably present himself as impelled -- as he was -- by nationalist fervor as well as by doubts about Islam. Kemalism essentially replaced the myths of Islam with a mythological cult of The Turk, who had supposedly always inhabited Anatolia and to whom the credit for everything, practically back to the Hittites, should be given.

And even before Ataturk's death in 1938, the cult of Ataturk, which became much greater after that death, was an obvious substitute for the cult of Muhammad as The Perfect Man, uswa hasana, al-insan al-kamil. Primitive masses needed a replacement cult, and they were given it. Islam remained, always present, never quite yielding. And of course it has come back in Turkey with a vengeance, to the alarm of the West and of those genuine secularists in Turkey who did not realize that the only way to keep Islam down was, from time to time, to employ the methods that only the Turkish army could, and used to, employ. "Democracy" in Muslim Turkey will not do it.

Those like Abduh and Rida were not quite in the Ataturk mode, but rather something like those Communists who wanted not to replace Communism, but to permit it to avoid the rigidity, say, of Suslovian apparatchiki, in order not to jettison Communist rule but to preserve it.

But that spirit of mild reform was a result only of perceived Muslim weakness.

Three things have happened to change the perception by Muslims of their weakness. They have been dealt with at length here many times before, but perhaps they should again be briefly summarized.

Those three developments are:

1) The oil revenues, the only revenues that could possibly have come to the Muslim states in such amounts, for they required nothing of their beneficiaries, and were simply the result of an accident of geology. Since 1973, the Arab and other Muslim-dominated oil states have received ten trillion dollars. This is the greatest transfer of wealth in human history. The Muslims did nothing to deserve this, though many took the oil bonanza as a deliberate sign of Allah's favor. With that money, however, they were saved from their natural poverty, the poverty that, with Infidel Jizyah removed, is the natural state of Muslim countries. They bought hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Western arms, and with those arms, a whole network of middlemen, bribes-givers and bribes-takers -- Western hirelings not only in the arms industries, but also in the business of supplying other goods and services to the suddenly rich oil states. The money became the fabled "wealth" weapon of the Jihad, by which boycotts, and bribery, and the dangling of profitable contracts contributed to creating a vast and loyal constituency among some very influential and meretricious people in the capitals of the West.

2) Almost at the same time as the oil bonanza, the countries of Western Europe allowed millions of Muslim migrants to enter and settle -- Pakistanis in England, Turks in Germany, Algerians in France, Moroccans in Spain, Indonesians in Holland, and then assorted mix-'n-match Muslims from all of these places and others. They were allowed to bring their wives. Their children, of course, were taken care of by the free medical care of the Infidel nations, and the free schooling, and the subsidized or free housing, and the attempts, ever greater, ever more frantic, to somehow "integrate" a population that is almost entirely and incurably hostile. It is hostile because its belief-system, that suffuses the societies and minds of Muslims wherever they are, had taught them to be hostile to the Infidels. This remained true no matter what those Infidels may have provided them, no matter how desperate to win their loyalty those Infidel nation-states may have been. Those Infidels were unaware that Muslim loyalty, according to the tenets, attitudes, atmospherics of Islam, must be given only to fellow Believers, fellow members of the umma al-islamiyya.

This was simply not understood. As the older generation of Western scholars of Islam died or retired, new people replaced them. These people were very often Muslims themselves, but even where not Muslim, they were by their mental formation inclined to favor Islam and the Arabs, not least because of a diseased sympathy for all those who might be seen as members of the Third World. One might have thought this would be a difficult trick for plutocrats in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the U.A.E., Libya, and so on to pull off, but pull it off they did. And those millions, now tens of millions, of Muslims in the West have made that West fearful. They have inhibited the freedom of its governments not only in domestic but in foreign policy -- as one can see from the recent behavior of the French in being so fearful of committing a few thousand troops to Lebanon, where they might be forced to behave in ways that would antagonize the ever-ready-to-riot Muslims within France.

3) Technological advances in the Western world have made it much easier to disseminate the Call to Islam to Infidels, and the full message of Islam to Believers worldwide, and furthermore, to offer propaganda -- often of a kind that Infidels find appalling but that apparently work on Believers. Who would have thought that decapitation videos would be eagerly exploited as recruitment tools for those seeking others willing to actively participate in violent Jihad?

Without audiocassettes, without his taped sermons urging violence, Khomeini might never have been able to win, from Neauphle-le-Chateau in France, so many hundreds of thousands of fanatical followers in Iran. Without videocassettes, and then the Internet, and then the satellite television channels, Arab and Islamic propaganda of the kind seen on Al-Jazeera and Al-Manar would not have been so powerful. No longer can simple pious Muslims live in villages, completely unaware of their duties save for the five canonical daily prayers. Now the whole of Islam is far more readily available to them, with consequences both for Muslims and for the Infidels that are as yet unappreciated.

Those who argue that the existence of such new technology also makes it possible to influence Muslim minds so that some will have their faith weakened have not been able to show how any Western government has dared to broadcast the kind of information that would be necessary to do this – information about the connection between the political, economic, social, and intellectual failures of Muslim societies and Islam itself. Indeed, one discovers that deep behind enemy lines, Muslims are watching not the regular Western channels, but are insisting on getting their news -- in Dearborn as in the East End of London, as in the banlieues of Paris and Lyon and Marseille, from Al-Jazeera: willingly, Arab Muslims limit themselves to Arab Muslim propaganda, for only that is "telling the truth."

These three developments make it impossible for the Arabs and other Muslims to begin to make the connection of their own failures with Islam itself. Not a single Western government has pointed out --- perhaps not a single Western government realizes -- that the inshallah-fatalism with which Islam is instinct, explains the failure of these rich oil states after 33 years (and before that there was already enough wealth derived from oil for a generation to have idled through) to create anything like modern economies. Surely needs to be said both to Muslims and to Infidels who might be inclined to believe that they are somehow to be blamed for the poverty of some Muslim countries. (The usual inapposite invoking of "colonialism" and that "post-colonialism" that has no sell-by date, still can convince some.) And the continued payment of foreign aid by Infidels to every Muslim country or entity -- Pakistan, Egypt, the "Palestinians" -- is merely a disguised Jizyah. Of course should long ago have been abandoned, and the responsibility for helping fellow members of the umma have fallen to the fabulously rich Saudis, Kuwaitis, and other rich Arabs.

What can the Western world do? It cannot assume the kind of blithe optimism -- that incautious and dangerous optimism of someone such as Paul Johnson. Although Johnson recognizes what Islam is all about, he is perhaps simply too tired to want to figure out how to deal with the problem. For that would require all kinds of mental effort. He prefers to think, with a wave of his hand, that somehow Muslims -- despite all the evidence to the contrary, despite the fantastic hold Islam has over so many people no matter what is done by Muslims, prompted by Islamic teachings -- will "collapse into secularism."

Johnson has no evidence for this. All he has is a hope. The kind of hope that used to be called, and should still be called, a forlorn hope.

Those who wish to survive as Infidels, and who wish that the most primitive adherents of primitive and fossilized belief-systems would not be permitted to overwhelm other, superior peoples and civilizations -- those who think they have some kind of duty to preserve their own civilizational legacy, will not be comforted by Johnson's attitude. Rather, given his reputation for political steadfastness and sense, they will feel a certain alarm. Et tu, Johnson? -- or possibly something a little less banal.

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What can we do Hugh? If we look at the rich oil muslim states, they give tons of money already to those madrassas in Pakistan and elsewhere. If we quit giving money to Pakistan, then we'd have no influence on them at all. Would you agree that paying Jizya to places like Egypt keep those jihadis from rushing Israel? If we quit the jizya payments to some of those non-oil muslims states then the balance of influence goes the way of the Saudis. Even if the saudis cut the cord on those madrassas, they'd still be self sufficient by this time. Our propaganda has to beat their propaganda at least until people in the muslim world wake up and realize they'd like to join the 21st century. My thought is, we'd need to marginalize muslims so much into their 7th century lives that they'd be forced to root out the jihadist mentality, and join the 21st century so they could have a Big Mac or even a bicycle. Unfortunately in order to marginalize them we'd have to get cooperation from the rest of the world, find alternative fuels, stop giving them money for anything, stop giving them computers, cars, airplanes etc...With corporate greed the way it is, we're not going to see that any time soon.

In general, stop reenforcing child-like destructive behavior from the muslim world. Force them to grow up like catholic europe did 6 hndred years ago. We should have learned a long time ago that you can't give technology willy-nilly to civilazations that haven't matured. We can't take it back, but perhaps we could charge extra money for the products they like to get some of those oil revenues back. We're pretty much dug a hole for ourselves and the muslims are starting to pile the dirt on top of us.

Hugh:

Is this the Brit "Historian" Paul Johnson?

Because if it is, nobody takes the blindest bit of notice of him on this side of the pond. He's been assumed for years to be certifiably clinically insane. In common parlance, "a loon".

If it's not, I aplologise for intruding on Johnson's private difficulties with reality...and give myself a smack on the wrist.

He can sue me all he wants - I have deliberately made myself virtually destitute on the grounds that destitution is enormously liberating. If you haven't got anything then nothing can be taken off you.

Anyway, what was good enough for the Spartans is good enough for me.

Hugh,

I read you commentary on the previous post. I want very much to reach Johnson's article, but am unable to load it. Can you kindly post it? I don't want to comment on it without having read it.

In order to have a sustainable constitutional republic, there must be cultural support for it. People don't seem to realize that there was a reason why freedom arose first in the Western world and didn't arise anywhere else. You can't build without a foundation and Islam has none when it comes to freedom

Yes, Sir Henry Morgan, Paul Johnson has been publicly declared a loon and emarginated. By those who regard the Brutish Broadcasting Creeperation and Al-Grauniad as enlightened, modern sources of truth. And who perhaps did not want to cope with the ferocious strafing runs that Johnson inflicted on many of their culture heroes in his devastating Intellectuals. I admit that the man is erratic, but those who would ban him from polite society are not erratic, because they are permanently addicted to PC lies.

Paulo:

If you read my posts here and on CiF, you'd be hard pushed to think I am addicted to PC lies (on CiF, I'm the EmperorsClothesBoy).

"Political Correctness" is based on a discredited Pseudo-Psychological theory called "Linguistic Relativity", which at base claims that if something is un-sayable, then sooner or later it becomes un-thinkable through falling into disuse. Thoroughgoing nonsense, of course. Didn't originate in Britland ...

I do have the qualifications to pass judgement on that.

I still maintain that Paul Johnson is certifiably insane - in the vernacular: a loon.

Would you say jihadist preachers should not be banished from polite society because of what they say? Or David Irving? Though I do say he shouldn't have been jailed just for exercising free speech.