Iran’s “long-term influence is bound to wane.” Among Iraqi Shi’ites? Really? Why?
And of course they don’t want a “destabilized Iraq.” They want a Shi’ite client state in Iraq, and they’re doing all they can to establish one.
From DefenseNews.com, with thanks to DFS:
Iran is funneling weapons and cash to buy the loyalty of armed groups in Iraq, but its long- term influence is bound to wane as Iraqis focus more on their own interests, a senior U.S. military official said.
The United States and Britain have in the past accused Iran of fostering violence in Iraq. The Islamic Republic denies it.
But the official gave far more detail, and said the latest weapons finds — including explosives bearing factory stamps indicating they come from Iran — show that the policy of arming Iraqi militia is supported at high levels in Iran and not the work of rogue Iranian operatives.
“You see them enabling all comers,” he said. “And by the way, nobody in this country stays bought. You”re rented.”
The senior military official was discussing intelligence issues under condition he not be named, in a briefing with journalists in Baghdad on Sept. 27, the transcript of which was made available on Sept. 28.
He estimated that Iran has sent “millions of dollars” to the Mehdi Army militia of Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, including rogue elements that had slipped out of Sadr’s direct control.Iranian weapons found in Iraq include surface-to-air missiles and anti-tank rockets like those used by Hizbollah in Lebanon against Israel, as well as tank-destroying Explosively Formed Projectiles (EFPs) that have become common in roadside bombs used to attack U.S. and British troops….
But the official said parties seen as pro-Iranian were already falling behind in Iraq, losing ground to groups like Sadr’s who portray themselves more as Iraqi nationalists.
“For them to function effectively inside Iraq, they have to make a decision to be Iraqi,” he said.
“Iran only has a window of opportunity to influence Iraq before Iraq — and its natural tendencies as both an Arab state and one who’s got a whole series of friction points with the Islamic Republic — will start to take over.”
He said Iran had fomented violence in Iraq, especially places like Basra in the south, but this could be counter productive because of mainly ethnic-Persian Iran’s own worries about unrest among its Arab and Kurdish minorities.
“It’s not in their best interest to have a destabilized Iraq, because guess what? There are Arabs in the south (of Iran) and Kurds in the north that pose significant challenges to Iranian internal stability,” he said.
“But nonetheless, they”re not sure who is going to come out on top. And so basically they fund everybody.”