Politically correct fantasy and wishful thinking, reflecting the official prohibition on investigating the roots of jihad terror and Islamic supremacism in Islamic texts and teachings. “U.S. Intelligence Report Says Islamist Terrorism “˜Could End by 2030,– by Patrick Goodenough for CNS News, December 11 (thanks to Jerk Chicken):
(CNSNews.com) — The wave of Islamist terrorism is receding and “could end by 2030,” according to a new long-term assessment by the U.S. intelligence community.
In support of that projection, the study released on Monday said the view of America as the “great enemy” was becoming less appealing, resulting in part from the departure of U.S. forces from Iraq and Afghanistan.
It also cited political upheavals in the Arab world, and said that a new generation of young Muslims may be less interested in the narrative of a “conflict between fundamental values.”
“Several circumstances are ending the current Islamist phase of terrorism, which suggest that as with other terrorist waves — the Anarchists in the 1880s and 90s, the postwar anti-colonial terrorist movements, the New Left in 1970s — the recent religious wave is receding and could end by 2030,” said the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends 2030 report.
“The Arab uprisings have demonstrated the moral and strategic legitimacy of nonviolent struggle,” it argued. “Protesters acted in the name of democratic values, not in the name of religion.”
“The impending withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq and decreases in U.S. forces in Afghanistan help to reduce the extent to which terrorists can draw on the United States as a lightning rod for anger,” it said. “Soon, U.S. support for Israel could be the last remaining major focus of Muslim anger.”
Since 1996 the NIC, which reports to the director of national intelligence, has prepared a trends analysis roughly every four years for the incoming president. This time it discussed the draft with experts in almost 20 countries, and the views of those “interlocutors” are reflected in the final 166-page document.
Despite the upbeat assessment on the likelihood of an end to Islamist terrorism, the report conceded that terror would probably not die out altogether.
Some al-Qaeda affiliates and groups like Hezbollah may continue to pose threats, and states like Iran and Pakistan could continue to use terror groups as proxies, it said.
“Taking a global perspective, future terrorists could come from many different religions, including Christianity and Hinduism. Right-wing and left-wing ideological groups — some of the oldest users of terrorist tactics — also will pose threats.”…