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Muslim migrants will cost Sweden fourteen times more than the country’s defense budget

Feb 20, 2016 9:04 pm By Robert Spencer

But what wonderful benefits they will bring to Sweden! Such as…uh…

Sweden-refugees-welcome

“REPORT: 2015 Migrant Crisis Will Cost Sweden KR583,000,000,000 – 14x The Country’s Defence Budget,” by Oliver JJ Lane, Breitbart, February 19, 2016 (thanks to The Religion of Peace):

A Swedish economist, researcher, and business professor has calculated the total cost of the migrant crisis for 2015 for Sweden, and has reached a “conservative” lifetime estimate of around 600 billion Swedish Kronor (£48.3 billion).

Stockholm University associate professor Jan Tullberg has looked beyond the immediate costs of merely receiving migrants and their initial impact — extra policing, higher social benefits — and claims to have found the true cost of just one year’s migration. Taking the claims of the Swedish government at face value has calculated what these ‘new Swedes’ will cost the state from now until they leave the country or die, which ever comes first.

Using best case scenario figures to generate what he calls a “conservative” estimate, he believes the 2015 intake will eventually cost the Swedish taxpayer kr 583,000,000,000 — or 583 billion. Swedish new-media news service Friatider (Free Times) reports a summarised version of the maths used to reach this figure, starting with the number of migrants who arrived in 2015.

Accepting the government’s claim that 60,000 of the 163,000 asylum claimants who arrived last year will be rejected and deported, Dr. Tullberg bases his initial calculations therefore on 103,000 new benefit claimants — or taxpayers — to assess the likely number of family reunifications. Sweden, like many other European countries observes the EU mandated human right to family life, allowing migrants granted residence to apply then to have the government bring over their families.

Because this right is often more rigorously enforced for unaccompanied minors, this allows one young man in his late teens to fight his way to northern Europe then exercise his rights to have his family flown over to catch up with him, all of whom then receive residency. Dr. Tullberg predicts with the new Swedish rules presently being worked on to tighten up this loophole — although he notes it has been deliberately worded to continue to allow almost all migrants to claim — will bring the total immigrants in the equation to 200,000.

The first cost Dr. Tullberg calculates therefore is the processing costs at the Migration Bureau, which shuffles paperwork, houses, feeds, and gives pocket money to each new arrival for an average of 414 days before they are signed off and legally permitted to start looking for work. However as Dr. Tullberg notes according to past experience it can take an average of eight years before migrants find any job,a nd many never find work at all and so stay on these benefits, at kr 150,000 (£12,500) a year.

The “establishment costs” therefore for 200,000 people Dr. Tullberg surmises could in his best-case estimate be around kr 240 billion (£20 billion).

Next comes the additional expense for so-called unaccompanied minors — under-18’s who have arrived in Sweden without their parents or family — which are so inflated Dr. Tullberg remarks “the costs for this group is almost bizarre”. He says these young arrivals are given “a government allowance of 1,900 kronor per person per day just for food and lodging. I put the cost at kr 800,000 per person per year”.

Deducting the kr 150,000 establishment cost, and multiplying the figure by both the approximately 28,000 under-aged arrivals last year and the average three years they will spend in this care, Dr. Tullberg finds an additional cost of another 55 billion kronor (£4.5 billion).

Although to this point the calculations have dealt with the costs of the immigrants given asylum status, those forced to leave still cost the state. Although the legal and practical costs of deportation are already high many will abscond, costing the state as undocumented migrants, and others will return to Sweden after the four year limitation period for apply for their residency permit again. Dr. Tullberg believes “a conservative estimate is [kr] 300,000 per person… rejection cost would be 60,000 people x 300,00”, giving an additional migrant crisis cost of 18 billion kronor (£1.5 billion).

Having considered the direct costs, the economist then turns to the gains from migrants, the tax they pay once they get through the asylum system and find jobs. But here the government is still paying out, as Dr. Tullberg finds migrants are on average a third less likely to have a paid job than native Swedes, and are unable to cover the cost of their own state pensions in tax contributions.

Basing his figures on a 2006 study which put the cost of a 15 year pension to age 80 at kr 3.4 million, and not even accounting for the fact the migrants in his study will earn less over their lifetimes than their native counterparts and therefore pay less tax, and that the pension age will rise in time, Dr. Tullberg estimates a pension cost of 204 billion kronor (£17 billion).

The academic’s final calculations are the costs of raising children, which based on the same assumptions of migrant employability again must be borne by the state. This Dr. Tullberg believes, with the high migrant birthrate will cost an additional 66 billion kronor (£5.4 billion).

The report claims the final figure of 583 billion kronor, which compared to the Swedish defence budget of 40 billion kronor a year, works out at around 14 years of defence for one year of open borders. The figure also works out at three million kronor per average migrant (£248,000), a figure Dr. Tullberg claims “is comparable to other studies, providing a basis for fair consideration”. One such study is a 2012 report which found the cost of “non-European immigrants to Norway” was some four million Norwegian krone.

In addition to the costs of migration, the Norwegian study also found migrants from outside Europe and the Anglosphere (North America, Australia, New Zealand) were more likely to settle permanently, rather than eventually going home, and had significantly more children….

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Filed Under: Eurabia, immigration, Sweden, Useful idiots Tagged With: Jan Tullberg


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Comments

  1. Angemon says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 9:16 pm

    Taking the claims of the Swedish government at face value has calculated what these ‘new Swedes’ will cost the state from now until they leave the country or die, which ever comes first.

    Huh, why would they leave when they have the kuffar paying them jiziyah and women to rape?

    • Don McKellar says

      Feb 20, 2016 at 9:33 pm

      Well, the chances are that the WILL leave — for a tour of duty in the Islamic State — and then come back with a whole new plan of how to really crack down on the stupid infidels.

  2. grace says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 9:24 pm

    Come and get it. Come and get it. Free money. Free food. Free housing. And you can even sabotage a whole town and claim it or islam.

    • Don McKellar says

      Feb 20, 2016 at 9:30 pm

      Don’t forget free raping of stupid infidel women. That’s right near the top of the list for most of these colonizing young males.

  3. Remorseless says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 9:38 pm

    Just a thought. Why isn’t this welcoming banner written either in Swedish or arabic? Could it be they are sending a message to the gullible west?

    • Don McKellar says

      Feb 20, 2016 at 9:49 pm

      That’s what this propaganda is always all about. Good call.

    • Jay Boo says

      Feb 20, 2016 at 10:18 pm

      Good point
      That banner must be for CNN, MSNNBC, NPR

    • Angemon says

      Feb 21, 2016 at 7:14 pm

      My guess is that they don’t know arabic and they don’t expect the “refugees” to know Swedish.

  4. SAHANI says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 9:57 pm

    HISTORY OF ISLAM SPEAKS VOLUME .THEIR MINDS ARE DISTORTED DUE TO HALAL MEAT AND READING A BOOK FULL OF HATE , NO WAY YOU CAN TEACH THEM ANY THING GOOD

    • Miao Zedong says

      Feb 21, 2016 at 6:00 am

      Western minds are similariliy distorted by halal politics and haram reasoning.

    • Carolyne says

      Feb 21, 2016 at 11:22 am

      I doubt the halal meat had anything to do with the distorted minds Most likely it is the horrific nonsense taught them by their mullahs since most of them can’t even read. That and the fact that first-cousin marriage has left them mentally deficient. But the statement that they can’t be taught anything good is probably true.

  5. Jay Boo says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 10:16 pm

    Yet, NPR whines daily how it is the EU’s — “responsibility” to take in every hate filled ungrateful Muslim on the planet.

  6. Mo says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 10:40 pm

    I really can’t feel sorry for Europe anymore. Even after seeing the realities of Islam, they’ve doubled down. They are, quite literally, too stupid to live.

    Their only purpose now is to serve as a terrifying example to us.

  7. billybob says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 10:43 pm

    You might think that government officials would have already made these calculations before allowing all these immigrants to enter their country.

    • Carolyne says

      Feb 21, 2016 at 11:25 am

      I doubt that Hussein Obama and his Muslim pal Valerie Jarrett have asked for the financial estimates either. I think that destroying Western culture is the point in their cases. Kenyan and Iranian born.

  8. gravenimage says

    Feb 20, 2016 at 11:25 pm

    Muslim migrants will cost Sweden fourteen times more than the country’s defense budget
    …………………..

    So much for the frequent absurd claim that Infidel nations need to keep importing Muslims because of their financial contributions.

    The truth is that besides the danger of their violence and eroding our freedoms, that between welfare and the increased costs of crime and security the Muslims are a bloody *drain* on our societies.

    The only question is if we continue on the course we are on whether Muslims will break us through violent takeover or by bankrupting us.

    • Louis says

      Feb 22, 2016 at 6:35 am

      Well, if they bankrupt every european country then where to next!!

  9. Paul Rainwater says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 12:00 am

    I don’t understand why these countries keep inviting people in who call us ‘infidel’ and hate us. The sexual assault and rape rate has gone up 500% in Sweden with this muslim ‘invasion’ and the native Swedish blond haired women have to die their hair black and change the way they dress to avoid being raped by these ‘immigrant refuges’.

  10. Judi says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 2:08 am

    Sweden is reaping what it has sown.

  11. Wakeup says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 3:00 am

    I notice the refugees welcome sign is in BLACK.

  12. Jayell says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 3:41 am

    This is exactly the kind of information we need to assess the value of these ‘enriching human beings’ not only to Sweden or Europe but generally. That is, in ‘minus’ values. They clearly have little, if any, positive value for us in this part of the world, and, judging from their abject failure in their own neck of the woods (which seems to be one main reason why they’re gracing us with their presence) no constructive value to themselves collectively. Which is why they’re contaminating Sweden and elsewhere. And before any do-gooding cock-eyed optimist leaps up on their hind legs crying ‘racism’ or ‘discrimination’ (or some other stupidly inappropriate PC buzzword), this assessment is clearly based on hard fact, as represented by the financial figures here. As would be the very opposite of any mindless, ridiculously myopic, pseudo-intellectual negligence of any idiot attempting to defend these clearly duplicitous, ‘poor, downtrodden refugees’ who appear to be succeeding only in conning the wilfully credulous, outrageously incompetent fools purporting to manage the affairs for the good of the Swedish people. Over here in the UK we’ve been suffering floods of a physical rather than demographic nature, and to visit some areas that have been seriously affected by an unwanted and unwarranted deluge is to marvel at professional competence and proper sense of responsibility of those who have seen to the protection of their environment by the rapid removal of the dumped dirt, flotsam and other contaminating rubbish that threatened to wreck it. I believe there might be an object lesson there.

    • Carolyne says

      Feb 21, 2016 at 11:31 am

      But the invaders themselves are dumped dirt, flotsam and contaminating rubbish. One bunch of garbage has replaced another bunch of garbage. No gain there. That is the object lesson.

      • Jayell says

        Feb 21, 2016 at 2:56 pm

        That was my point, Carolyne.

  13. David says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 6:33 am

    Again! Another situation that is absolutely rediculous! Why? Why do so many of our Western “LEADERS” have their heads up their butts?
    And HOW do the people they are PAID TO PROTECT, help them to PULL THOSE HEADS OUT?
    If the situation wasn’t so damn dangerous,
    It would be funny! Kind of like a “Three Stooge” skit! How did these imbeciles ever get elected in the first place? Larry, Mo, Curly! Your on!

  14. particolor says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 7:19 am

    Serves them Bloody right !!
    And with any luck they will be out of it in a FEW HUNDRED YEARS or so, Like Spain !! 🙂 🙂

  15. Richard Paulsen says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 9:26 am

    Astonished as a Swedish citizen how rich Sweden seems to be suddenly, and the way it uses its money and democrazy.
    The Swedish Minister of Finance – studied in the U.S.A. – in the Parliament (the Riksdag) stating that: – “The barns are empty”. Strange to being able to affford such migration “the barns being empty”.
    Calling the only opposition party the Swedish Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna) “neofascists” on TV. “They are neofascists”. As did the Prime Minister (Statsministern).
    That party – the Swedish Democrats – got some 12,8% in the 2014 election (next one in 2018). Now, in some polls, bigger than the Socialdemocrats forming Government. Up to some 16- 28% in different polls.
    Active members of the Swedish Democrats party being ostracized from Unions and different organizations and physically attacked for not having the correct “values”.
    Media spreading hate against it. Almost hardly ever (to some 90%) allowing it to take part on TV as others or to answer on TV or in papers like others after being attacked by journalists.
    As the Minister of Industry and Commerce puts it: – “I am a refugee too.” His mother came from Finland during or soon after the WW2.
    In his and his fellows eyes it is the same whether you are from the Middle East, Africa, Afghanistan or
    from a European country and a close neighbour, or being a muslim or a Christian, whether you prefer islamic law and rules or democracy. Muslim culture or European is all the same to them.
    Not unusual nowadays in Sweden to hear that as a Swedish citizen you have been spoiled. As a Swede you should be glad that you are being admired by all the world for your ” swedish model “.
    Not least the U.S.A. has praised Sweden for accepting so many immigrants.
    Sometimes they are called immigrants, sometimes refugees in need of protection, sometimes being said that they are needed in Sweden because they are well educated and work harder than Swedes.
    There are biased opinions in Sweden like in every country.
    The migration flow is one sided. There is no migration flood from Europe or the U.S.A. to the arab world. That is not because of biased opinions but because of lots of people understand that islam is not the same thing as democracy and that islamic countries have no good standard of living.
    Illogical then allowing islam to establish in the not muslim world. Afraid it has grown too much.
    It was not muslims that built Europe or the U.S.A. and islam is not a good aim for anyone or any country.
    Thank you. Sorry for limited english.

  16. andrew sapia says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 11:18 am

    The only reason that Europeans are able to do any of this, including there supposed successful welfare state crap is because the United States pays for their defense. Imagine they had to pay for their own defense. None of this crap would be possible. That goes for Canada as well. I think the US should demand they pay a tax for this. It’s ridiculous that they are allowed to live this way on the American tax payers dime.

  17. Hummer says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 3:43 pm

    They are already ruined and the rest of the EU is in the same boat. Time to wake up but I wonder if it’s not already too late. Coming to our country next thanks to the current administration and enablers.

  18. QV3 says

    Feb 21, 2016 at 4:46 pm

    Do not bother shedding a tear for Sweden. The people are wilfully IDIOTS. Brains scapelled by liberalism. So are their ‘leaders’ they elect to genocide them with filthy illiterates who are all Rapists — born Rape Products. Every muslim is a product of rape. The Feminists of Sweden enjoy multiple massive orgasms that their own Swedish girls are raped — better if raped to death, as was reported by Swedish police — a Somalian was still raping the young Swedish female after he had raped her to death.
    Sweden is a Mentally Sick, Sick Country.

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