The Americans are trying to tamp down the possibility of an escalation of the war, by sending a diplomat to Israel to persuade Jerusalem not to raise the level of violence in Lebanon. Instead of doing that, the Bidenites should try another tack. They should first of all respond to the attacks by the Iran-backed Houthis on American and other ships. On October 10, a missile attack from Yemen targeted a guided missile destroyer, the USS Mason, but both missiles fell short; neither hit the ship. Nonetheless, the Americans did not at once respond by hitting Houthi targets in Yemen to discourage future attacks. On November 10 the Americans did send an MQ-9 Reaper drone toward Yemen, but the Houthis shot it down before it got to the country. And there have been no American attacks, as yet, on the Houthi bases in Yemen.
Now the Houthis have struck yet again, seizing a cargo ship in the Red Sea. The ship has been described as British-owned and Japanese-operated, but the Houthis claim it is “Israel-linked,” because, they assert, the ship is “owned by an Israeli.” This may be true: the ship, the Galaxy Leader, may only seem to be “British-owned” because it was registered in the Isle of Man, but it was to a company, Ray Car Carriers, which is a unit of Tel Aviv-incorporated Ray Shipping, according to LSEG data. In any case, even if the Israeli connection can be proven, seizing ships on the high seas, holding onto both them and their cargo, is a violation of international law. Israel and the Houthis, a stateless terror group that is a proxy of Iran, are not formally at war.
Why doesn’t the American military launch a major series of airstrikes on Houthi targets, both in response to the Houthi missile attacks on the USS Mason, and to the shooting down of the MQ-9 Reaper drone, and finally, for its act of piracy in seizing the Galaxy Leader? Such an attack would be welcomed by Israel, which at the moment has its hands full in Gaza and would be much relieved to have the Houthi problem taken care of by the American military. Saudi Arabia and the UAE would also welcome an American attack on the Houthis. That would be one less worry for the region, and one more worry for Iran.
Finally, the American ships in the two carrier groups off the coast of Lebanon are well-positioned to attack Hezbollah. On what grounds could Washington do so? The Americans have a score to settle with Hezbollah, which back in 1983 blew up a Marine barracks near Beirut, killing 241 Marines. Hezbollah, like Hamas, is a designated terror group.
As long as those American carrier groups are in the eastern Mediterranean, Hezbollah is unlikely to provoke a major war with Israel. It has already seen the severe American attacks on Iranian proxies and allies in Iraq and Syria, in response to attacks on American bases in those two countries. It will continue launching missiles at Israel, about 30 a day, as it has been since October 7. All it takes, however, for such a war to start is if another Hezbollah attack were to kill a large number of Israelis in the northern Israel, or for Kataib Hezbollah, the pro-Iran militia in Iraq, to kill American soldiers, which so far it has not managed to do. Hezbollah now fears not just the IDF, which has demonstrated in Gaza the ferocity of its war-fighting capabilities, but also those powerful American carrier groups in the eastern Mediterranean that could inflict such huge damage on the Islamic Republic. Would Iran enter such a conflict on the side of Hezbollah, which would mean facing both the IDF and the American military? I don’t think Iran has a death wish. Do you?
bagsgroove says
Shoot them while they have their tails between their legs !
somehistory says
Their “death wish” is not to die, but to inflict.
Jeffrey Fixler says
Iran and its proxies know very well the nature of the Biden administration. In fact, one can’t help but wonder if this entire conflict would have occurred under a Trump Ad. with a strong Pompeo at state. Trump, clown that he might be, instilled a degree of fear and unpredictability in the Mullahs. When Trump whacked Solomeani, they hardly said boo. A leftist administration like the Biden one is going to put de escalation and outright appeasement as goal #1. But the Shiite Islamofascosts practice escalation dominance. Look at the result. At Iran’s behest, the tinpot Houthi Jijadists now feel free to interdict shipping while Iran has 700 oil tankers delivering oil , mostly to China, untouched. Biden Admini. STILL hasn’t to this day enforced embargo on Iran. No credible threat that US might blockade Iranian land mass. A threat that would certainly give the Iranians pause about continuing on their current path. Certainly, Hizbollah will not open a full war front in the North. They’re not suicidal like Hamas, but the current state of affairs is bad enough, and the fault lies squarely with the Biden administration.
Hudders. says
Maybe turn them and the whole of their lands to glass.
It would be helping the whole world, not just the US.
Mind you, the US Govt has brought this on themselves & many in positions of power & influence have secretly support Iran ffor some time now.
It is not rocket science. They are compromised.
Many US politicians have family &/or business ties to Iranians & their agents.
They must be rooted out & stopped. ASAP.
How could any sane President, such as bath house Barry Hussain Obongo & drooling Biden for example, send BILLIONS of dollars to the Iranian regime, if they didn’t support them?
Even they are not so stupid to believe Iran has the US, Israels & the wider world’s best interests at heart!
Unless of course, they actually support them.
Trump had Iran by their desert ding-a-lings, yet now they are once again emboldened & active in the support, planning & acting out of cruel criminal acts of unimaginable horror, with an alarming frequency.
The US Govt should act mightily now, or prove beyond any doubt their duplicity & devilish deceit, when it comes to the islamic republic of terror, Iran.
Bret says
Hard to tell if the Biden administration is afraid of inciting more violence if they retaliate or they don’t want to attack their friends/allies. I suspect both, but violence is what Islam understands and is unable to to counter to any degree. This is an easy win for the US military, but no one in this left leaning administration is willing. Our soldiers are the pawns at this moment. And they will be sacrificed needlessly.
OLD GUY says
It seems like our leaders are blinded by greed. In the long run it won’t work for them, but a lot of our youth will die once again for these few greedy mistakes.
Princess says
America should react by stating a firm “DON’T!”