Exposing the role that Islamic jihad theology and ideology play in the modern global conflicts

Mass Immigration to Germany Will Cost Nearly 20 Trillion Euros

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The mass immigration to Germany of migrants — overwhelmingly from Muslim countries — was once presented by the country’s political class as a boon to the Germany economy. That immigration was described to the public as solving two problems. First, in Germany there is a growing labor shortage, with an aging workforce —20% of the population is over 65 — eager to retire as early as possible because the benefits provided by the pension system are so generous. There are also fewer young German workers both to replace the retirees, and to contribute to the pensions system; family size has been steadily decreasing in Germany, and for many years the fertility rate of German women has decreased to below the replacement level. These immigrants would, it was expected, fill that need for more workers. In addition, these migrants — almost all below the age of 30 — were seen as a godsend to the social security system. Their payments into the system, as workers, would keep it from going broke, and continue to support the German retirees far into the future.

But now a German economist, Prof. Bernd Raffelhüschen, has published an exhaustive study with some unhappy conclusions: he believes that continued mass migration will cost the Germans 19.2 trillion euros. It will be even worse if the migrants are Muslim economic migrants, who come not to work but to live on the benefits the generous German welfare provides. Their faith makes them less likely to be able to integrate into a society of those they regard as Infidels and hence “the most vile of created beings.” More on this expert’s findings can be found here.

Mass immigration may cost Germany up to €19.2 trillion, and has already cost the country €5.8 trillion, according to a top German academic on public finances, Prof. Bernd Raffelhüschen, of the University of Albert Ludwig University of Freiburg.

Often referred to as the “pension pope,” Prof. Raffelhüschen’s study blows a hole in the narrative promoted by pro-migration parties and business leaders, who claim that mass immigration will save Germany’s public finances and the job market.

“Immigration as it has been happening so far is costing us €5.8 trillion overall economically,” writes the professor in a new study.

That 5.8 trillion euros, according to Prof. Raffelhüschen, has already been spent to support an immigrant population of 15 million, of whom by far the largest subset consists of more than five million Muslim economic migrants. They are almost all unskilled workers, who have come to Germany because of its famously generous welfare benefits. They receive free or heavily subsidized housing, free medical care, free education, unemployment benefits (even without a German work record), family allowances, and more. This cornucopia costs the state a great deal — the amount has been constantly rising, and now is about 36-40 billion euros a year.

But beyond those benefits, Muslim migrants are expensive in other ways. There are the costs to the state of increased rates of criminality exhibited by the Muslim population. These economic costs include property crimes — street robberies and house burglaries, vandalism, arson, as well as crimes of violence against individuals — sexual assaults, rape, and murder. The state must pay for more policemen, more detectives, more prosecutors, more court-appointed lawyers, more judges, more prisons and prison guards, and more for the feeding and health care of prisoners. That last item is an expensive proposition. It costs $50,000 to house an inmate in a German prison for a year.

Then there are the psychic costs to the indigenous Germans – the growing feeling of insecurity due to the increase in crime, the city centers that out of fear are no longer visited in the evening, with losses to restaurants and entertainment venues, the No-Go neighborhoods where non-Muslims (including firemen) do not enter without a police guard. Even the police visit these No-Go neighborhoods only in a group.

Right now, every new Muslim immigrant allowed into Germany is a net loss to the state; costing the government far more in benefits received than they will ever be able to pay into the system.

To former Chancellor Angela Merkel’s insistence in 2015 that “Wir schaffen das” — “We can do this” — about mass immigration, Raffelhüschen offers, based on statistics rather than wild hopes, the dour and sober response: “No, we can’t. We most definitely cannot.”

Comments

  1. Germany, and other EU countries, need to start following Hungary’s example and encourage their own native citizens to procreate. Otherwise, Europe will just be this millennium’s version of North Africa

  2. Japan has an aging workforce also but chooses not to allow foreigners in. As Steyn said, Japan is going out of business but they intend to stay Japanese to the end.

    • Japan could allow non-Muslims to immigrate without too much trouble; however, any Muslim immigrants that it allows to enter, should have to swear an oath that they will assimilate and obey the Japanese constitution.

      • I think any immigrant to the UK and applies far UK citizenship has to swear allegiance to the Crown etc but it doesn’t seem to have much effect.

  3. So, Prof. Bernd Raffelhüschen has essentially said that there is absolutely no upside regarding muslim migrants.

    All downside.

    So why is Germany doing this???

    • One possible reason, James, is self-hate which the Left is full of just as it is full of something else.

      Another reason, the very short-sighted Wall Street Journal reason, and why I don’t bother reading that rag any longer, is for temporary economic gain, i.e. for short-term avaricious advantage even though it is highly injurious to nations like America and Germany.

    • Why?

      A failure to grasp the nature of Islam. Too few in Germany have managed to inform themselves about this ideology. Too many are afraid of being tarred with the label “Islamophobe.” Too many are reluctant to admit that the country has made a terrible mistake. The political and media elites who brought about this state of affairs don’t want to admit they have done something so damaging to the country’s well-being.

      • This ”terrible mistake” is THE CRIME OF THE CENNTURY in my eyes . And being reluctant to admit that the country has made a terrible mistake adds up to this crime . You are so right Hugh Fitzgerald !

      • Hugh: thanks for the insightful and thoughtful comments.

        I think that many Germans had good intentions and initially supported Angela Merkel’s policy, because after all many German civilians were refugees at the end of World War 2.

        However, only about 20 percent of the Muslim migrants who entered Germany back in 2015 were genuine Syrian war refugees.

        The majority of the migrants have been economic refugees from countries not at war, and many (if not most) of them have been single men of military age. Moreover, few of them have had any vetting or background checks of any meaningful kind.

        So….it wasn’t a very well-thought out policy.

      • Very well stated……it seems like Europe, and Great Britain might soon be Muslim countries if they do not wake up..and quickly.

  6. In Belgium, they have had heavy immigration by Maghrebis (people from Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia, overwhelmingly Muslim), while Luxembourg selected to have a large amount of immigrants from Portugal (mostly Catholic/Christian, even if non practicing).

    Overall, Portuguese have assimilated much better into Luxembougish society, than Maghrebis have in Belgium. Please note, I’m generalizing.

  7. Better they stay where they are and we send out engineers to create: an oil industry, (Persia), tobacco farms (Zimbabwe), rubber plantations (Malaya). Then they boot us out and we pull up the drawbridge.

    • I don’t know what we have to send people there to try and prop up their dysfuntional societies.

  8. Nothing like paying for your own destruction and encouraging your enemies to invade your country.

  9. Jihad watch, allows comments like number 1 & 2 above but just mention female gentile mutilation that is practiced in Middle Eastern & other Muslim nations countries and nothing gets posted. It’s even mentioned in the Koran. the English version does not state the truth yet the Arabic translation tells that a woman’s clitoris is fully removed and the vaginal opening is sewed closed except for the opening to allow period flow and urination to ensure virginity until marriage, even then for the bride a doctor cannot reopen via surgery the husband has the duty to bring terrible pain to the woman as well as serious injury to all organs in that area. Most of the time the damage is also done by people who use unclean tools in unsanitary conditions. Infections also cause damage and or death. Just another way Islam treats women unfairly.

  10. I am German and was born in Germany. I left Germany as a child, and lived for many years with my parents who were expats in a country that was nearly 12,000 kilometers away from Germany. I’m back in Germany since a couple of years, but miss the days when I was abroad and didn’t have a care as to what was happening in Germany and to Germany.

    • Gunther: I’m not a German citizen, but I have some relatives who are, and I’m also concerned about them. Was your second country outside of Europe, that is, in the Americas or in Asia or elsewhere? I apologize, my geographical knowledge isn’t very good. Danke.

  11. Mass Immigration to Germany Will Cost Nearly 20 Trillion Euros
    …………………………………………

    Grimly, it will cost Germany much more than this, in suffering and death.

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